How can an anticipated timeline of impact and an anticipated trajectory of impact help?
Most implementations of complex initiatives are rarely guided by an explicit understanding of the anticipated timeline of impact or a trajectory of impact. An anticipated timeline of impact can provide information that is not supplied by the program logic, specifically when changes in key outcomes are likely to occur. It is important that this be based on realistic experiences and not just aspirations.
Involve stakeholders in developing the anticipated timeline and trajectory of impact. Some initiatives can be anticipated to experience a gradual or sharp improvement of indicators, while others can be anticipated to worsen before they improve.
Document disagreements between stakeholders on the anticipated timelines of impacts.