Limits of social suppression interventions exposed in complexity theory – 8 modes:
Disparate Command and Control Systems
Interaction and Emergence
Policy Discord and Moral Disharmony
Contextual Heterogeneity
Implementation Heterogeneity
Ambiguity in Relations and Guidelines
Temporal Change in Public Attitudes
Exit and Sustainability Effects
A Calamitous Conclusion?
No public policy has ever been subject to more effort, management, investment, and scrutiny than the social interventions to overcome COVID-19
Yet, only a halting intermittent solution was provided
Complexity dynamics and the oscillating impact of major policy interventions: Have we seen the merry-go-round before?
Is there light at the end of the tunnel?
For policymakers: Remember you are designing complex, adaptive, self-transformative systems. The key task is to try to anticipate the complexity dynamics.
For evaluators: Remember you are researching complex, adaptive, self-transformative systems. The key task is to try to trace the complexity dynamics.
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